2008-03-05

Last night's results

Clinton won: OH, TX (primary), and RI.
Obama won: VT and possibly the TX caucuses.

In general, she won the blue collar vote, the women, and the seniors.  He won college educated, younger people.  Race seems to have played a factor in Ohio, especially in the rural areas.

Clinton will gain 10-20 delegates but since she had trailed by over 100 prior to this mini Super Tuesday she would need large victories in the remaining states.  By my estimation, she will need to win each state on average 60%-40%, a very tough task.

If she cannot do this, Obama will end up with the lead in delegates going into the convention and I predict whoever has the lead at that point will win the nomination.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Obama does have a ton of votes. Hilary is way behind. I wouldn't be surprised if Obama won it all.