A baseball statistician by day, he lives on statistics and looks for movements in the data compared to historical numbers. He has recently included data from the last 20 or so years into his model. He then runs 10,000 computer simulations of election days. Based on this, it looks like McCain is in for some pain. He predicts a 30% chance of an Obama landslide, in which he would get 70%+ of the electoral vote. McCain only has 10% chance of that happening.
Overall, Obama wins 65% of the time. It also looks like my homestate of VA is a toss up, and right now is leaning blue.
1 comment:
I still think McCain may win by a landslide. We'll see. I heard some Hilary supporters/campaign workers are pushing people to vote McCain. We'll see what happens.
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